By Jonathan Vandersluis (@Jonathan_TTF)
Two weeks into the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season, and panic is starting to set in with a lot of fantasy owners. If you follow me on Twitter, you’ve probably heard this plenty of times, but two weeks into the year isn’t time to change your perspectives on players. First of all, baseball is a six month sport, so with not even 10% of the season completed, you are going to see a lot of variance in a players stats. Second of all, baseball as opposed some of the other popular fantasy sports is inherently unpredictable. In a given game, hitting the ball right at someone or through a hole can be the difference between an 0 for 4 night and a 4 for 4 one.
That’s why we look at stats like BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play). If you aren’t familiar with BABIP, please do yourself a favor and through this glossary on Fangraphs. In fact, I would assume that you are very new to Sabermetrics in which I would recommend you go and read their entire glossary. Trust me, it will make you a better fantasy baseball player. Sabermetrics are used to understand the numbers beneath the numbers. While you may get one picture from stats like batting average, RBI, HR etc.., the picture when looking at the underlying stats may be completely different.
In this article, I’m going to look at some players that have been struggling early in this baseball season (or at least appearing to based on their batting averages) but their BABIP suggests a very different story. Thanks to Fangraphs for all of the data discussed in this article.